The semi-final match of the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup between Fluminense (Brazil) and Chelsea (England) will take place on July 8 at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, USA. Fluminense vs. Chelsea: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Fluminense
Renato Gaúcho's team remains unbeaten in the 2025 Club World Cup. In the group stage, they secured one win and two draws. In the playoffs, the Brazilians improved their performance, winning both matches in regular time: first defeating Inter (2-0), then overcoming Al-Hilal (2-1). Notably, the South Americans have conceded only three goals in the current Club World Cup.
- Fluminense has not lost in regular time in 6 of their last 7 Club World Cup matches (4 wins, 2 draws).
- At least one team failed to score in regular time in 5 of Fluminense's last 7 matches in this tournament.
- In their last 15 matches in the Copa Libertadores and Club World Cup, the South Americans have suffered only 2 defeats in 90 minutes (9 wins, 4 draws).
Predicted lineup for Fluminense (3-5-2)
Fabio – Gabriel Fuentes, Samuel Xavier, Ignacio – Samuel Xavier, Gabriel Fuentes, Mateus Lima, Nonato, Facundo Bernal – John Arias, German Cano.
Defender Juan Pablo Freitas and midfielder Mateus Lima will miss the match due to suspensions, while forward Riquelme Felipe and midfielder Isaque are out due to injuries.
Chelsea
In the previous round, the English side faced another Brazilian Serie A representative and ultimately defeated Palmeiras 2-1. Before that, in the round of 16, the Londoners overcame Benfica (1-1, extra time 3-0). This upcoming match will be their third against Brazilian opposition in this tournament. Earlier in the group stage, they faced Flamengo, losing 1-3.
- The English team has not drawn in regular time in 12 of their last 13 matches in the Club World Cup and UEFA Champions League (8 wins, 4 losses).
- No more than three goals have been scored in 90 minutes in 14 of Chelsea's last 15 games in these tournaments.
- Chelsea has played 9 matches in the Club World Cup, suffering only two losses in regular time (5 wins, 2 draws).
Predicted lineup for Chelsea (4-3-3)
Robert Sanchez – Malo Gusto, Levi Colwill, Trevoh Chalobah, Marc Cucurella – Andrey Santos, Enzo Fernandez, Cole Palmer – Christopher Nkunku, Pedro Neto, Liam Delap.
Defender Levi Colwill and forward Liam Delap are suspended. Due to injuries, defender Benoit Badiashile and midfielders Romeo Lavia and Andrey Santos might miss the match.
Referee
François Letexier (France)
Matches – 14 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 69;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.9;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 36%.
Fluminense vs. Chelsea: Match Prediction
I believe bookmakers continue to underestimate Renato Gaúcho's team. Since taking charge of the Brazilian club in April this year, they have played 20 official matches, suffering only 3 defeats (13 wins, 4 draws). On only one occasion during this period did Fluminense lose by more than one goal. Moreover, the South Americans are currently on a 10-match unbeaten run at the official level (7 wins, 3 draws).
Meanwhile, the Londoners do not often secure convincing victories on the international stage. In their last 11 UEFA Champions League and Club World Cup matches, the team has won by more than one goal only three times. In their last 8 Club World Cup matches, the English side has won by two goals or more only twice. Considering all these factors, I believe the Brazilians can avoid defeat, or if they do lose, it will be by a narrow margin.
My prediction: Fluminense with a handicap (+1)
* For each team, the starting lineup from their previous match in this tournament is listed.
